Plunging Towards Darkness; Week-long Wind/Solar Lull in Germany, Other Energy Sources in Short Supply

Plunging Towards Darkness: Germany Sees Week-Long Wind, Sun Lull As...

By P Gosselin on 7. December 2022

Energy policy is sliding Germany ever closer to failure and disaster…”more CO2 emitted per kilowatt hour in electricity generation than India or China”… “landed in 127th place out of 147 countries in the ranking.”

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/plunging-towards-darkn...

Earlier this year, even though the natural gas supply from Russia had been stopped, Germany remained hell bent on moving ahead and shutting down its three remaining nuclear power plants by January 1, 2023.

But, common sense finally penetrated through the thick skulls of the NET-ZERO Eco-Freaks in the Cabinet.

Just weeks ago, the German government postponed the shutdown 90 days to April 1, 2023, instead of December 31, 2022.

Without the three nuclear plants running through the winter, Germany would face the real prospect of widespread blackouts. It was clear wind and solar power would not be able to keep the lights on in the country.

A Wind/Solar Lull Lasting ONE WEEK 

Today Blackout News here reports how there’s been hardly any sun and wind for a week now.

And though this is not unusual in winter, it is currently “causing enormous problems for German energy policy, because the Eco-Freaks had gone all out on unreliable, variable, intermittent wind and solar.

Because, with a wind/solar lull, wind and solar systems generate very little electricity.

Last week, their share was often less than 10% of the total electricity demand.”

A look at the Agora site, which monitors German energy production, tells the awful truth.

The upper solid line shows Germany’s power demand, the yellow shaded areas show the amount generated by solar energy. The light and dark blue indicate onshore and offshore wind power production respectively. Source: Agora.

Wind: Only during the past few hours has Germany’s 60,000 MW of wind turbines begun to generate any significant power.

Solar: Solar is a total nothing-burger in Germany, in winter.

The sun won’t be coming back until about March, and then only around midday

Yet, the German government, Habeck and Co, is still convinced, Germany can get along without fossil fuels for electricity.

NOTE: Millions of metric tons of oil and gas per day are used to run process plants to make about a million products with hydrocarbons embedded in them, such as plastics for clothing, cars, mobile phones, etc.

Wind and solar produce ZERO of these products!!

No Rational Answers from Germany's Eco-Freak Government

German daily “Das Bild” wanted to know from Economics Minister Robert Habeck, how this is supposed to work in Germany in the future.

According to Das Bild, “Habeck did not want to comment on ‘concrete weather conditions’, but that ‘precautions’ had been taken for such cases, for which ‘other capacities’ were available, according to the comment.”

It remains a mystery which “other capacities” Habeck was referring to.

Habeck is a certified Eco-Freak, who knows nothing about energy systems.

He got the cabinet Energy/Environment job, because he belongs to the political Eco-Freak party.

Blackout News comments:

With the shutdown of the last nuclear and coal-fired power plants, Germany will soon lack the necessary backup power to bridge such wind/solar lulls. The further expansion of renewable energies will not help in this situation, because if 1000 wind turbines do not generate electricity, 3000 turbines will not generate any more either. The alternative would be to build new, 60%-efficient, combined-cycle, gas-turbine plants. But these emit CO2. The far bigger problem: There is not enough gas.”

With Germany deep in an energy crunch, for at least the next 4 years, the government will have to go begging for energy from its neighbors, like buying coal-fired power from Poland, or nuclear power from France;

France has no nuclear electricity for export, because it shut down part of its nuclear plants, to catch up with deferred maintenance!!

Blackout News summarizes, the results of Germany’s energy strategy for November:

Germany emitted more CO2 per kilowatt hour in electricity generation than India, China and South Africa, and landed in 127th place out of 147 countries in the ranking.”

Hold onto Your Hat

And things are likely to get far worse before they get better.

Meteorologists and models are forecasting bitter cold weather over the coming days, i.e., not the mild conditions politicians were praying for earlier.

SUPPLEMENTARY ARTICLES

.

ISO-NE REPORT OF 2021 ECONOMIC STUDY: FUTURE GRID RELIABILITY STUDY PHASE 1

https://www.iso-ne.com/static-assets/documents/2022/07/2021_economi...

 

DEEP DIVE SUMMARY OF THE ISO-NE REPORT

https://www.utilitydive.com/news/new-england-future-grid-study-iso/...

 

CO2 IS INNOCENT, BUT CLOUD COVER IS GUILTY

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/11/23/co2-is-innocent-but-clouds-a...

LIFE WITHOUT OIL?

Life without oil means many products that are made with oil, such as the hundreds listed below, would need to be provided by wind and solar and hydro.

Folks, including Biden's attendants, wanting to get rid of fossil fuels, such as crude oil, better start doing some rethinking.

The above also applies to natural gas, which is much preferred by many industries

If you do not have abundant low-cost energy, you cannot have modern industrial economies.

APPENDIX 1

 

These articles contain significant information regarding wind, solar and grid-scale battery systems

 

GRID-SCALE BATTERY SYSTEMS IN NEW ENGLAND TO COUNTERACT SHORTFALL OF ONE-DAY WIND/SOLAR LULL

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/grid-scale-battery-sys...

COLD WEATHER OPERATION IN NEW ENGLAND DECEMBER 24, 2017 TO JANUARY 8, 2018

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/cold-weather-operation...

ANALYSIS OF WIND AND SOLAR ENERGY LULLS AND ENERGY STORAGE IN GERMANY

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/wind-and-solar-energy-...

IRELAND FUEL AND CO2 REDUCTIONS DUE TO WIND ENERGY LESS THAN CLAIMED    

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/fuel-and-co2-reduction...

BATTERY SYSTEM CAPITAL COSTS, OPERATING COSTS, ENERGY LOSSES, AND AGING

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/battery-system-capital...

HIGH COSTS OF WIND, SOLAR, AND BATTERY SYSTEMS IN US NORTHEAST

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/high-costs-of-wind-sol...

CO2 IS A LIFE GAS; NO CO2 = NO LIFE

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/co2-is-a-life-gas-no-c...

APPENDIX 2

 

These articles explain a lot about the world-wide “Climate Crisis” scam, based on highly compromised surface station measurements, which typically read HIGH.

 

Climate scientists SUBJECTIVELY adjust the readings for use in their SUBJECTIVE computerized-temperature-calculation programs, which are used in the reports of IPCC, etc., for scare-mongering purposes.

 

New Surface Stations Report Released – It’s ‘worse than we thought’

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/new-surface-stations-r...

 

Weather- Just how does it happen?

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/weather-just-how-does-...

 

A summary of the results of three “Physics of the Earth’s Atmosphere” papers, which were submitted for peer review at the Open Peer Review Journal.

https://globalwarmingsolved.com/2013/11/19/summary-the-physics-of-t...

 

APPENDIX 3

 

Satellites and balloons measure temperatures of the Troposphere, which starts at ground level, and has an average height of 59,000 ft at the tropics, 56,000 ft at the middle latitudes, and 20,000 ft at the poles. Above those levels starts the Stratosphere.

 

Balloons directly measure temperatures. Satellites measure radiation, from which temperatures are calculated. 

Both consistently measure much lower temperatures than the average of 102 computer-generated graphs.

See Appendix 2 and 3

 

The data in the below images is for a 43-y period.

There is global warming, but it is not anywhere near as much as scare-mongers are claiming.

https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/grid-scale-battery-sys...

 

1) Objective satellite and balloon temperatures increased from 0.00 to 0.5 C, or, or 0.116 C/decade 

2) Subjective computer-generated temperatures increased from 0.00 to 1.20 C; or 0.28 C/decade, about 2.7 TIMES AS FAST

 

The temperature data by satellites and balloons are more accurate than land-based measurements.

See Appendix 2 and URL

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UAH_satellite_temperature_dataset

Satellite measurements are made many times during every day and systematically cover almost the entire world; +/- 85-degree latitude.

The satellite data is vastly more complete, and accurate than would be gathered by ground stations. (See Appendix 2) 

 

Balloon measurements, made on a sampling basis, are vastly less complete than satellite measurements, but they serve as a useful crosscheck on the satellite measurements. 

 

NOTE: Behind the 102 computer graphs are hundreds of organizations that likely receive a significant part of their revenues from governments and subsidy-receiving wind, solar, battery, etc., businesses.

The livelihood and career prospects of the people creating these graphs is more secure, if they aim high, rather than low.

https://www.scienceunderattack.com/blog/2021/2/22/latest-computer-c...

 

A more detailed view of satellite temperatures.

APPENDIX 4

Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) and also a member of the CO2 Coalition. Sheahen and the Coalition are collaborating on a brief.

SEPP’s October 8 newsletter contains a summary of a major 2021 paper by Happer and co-author William van Wijngaarden that completely undermines the fake “science” the IPCC and EPA used to support the case of climate alarm. 

Sheahen specifically discusses the efforts of Professors William van Wijngaarden and William Happer in their pioneering work in calculating the real-world Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) of the five most common Green-House Gases (GHGs).

Sheahan explains why the approach used by IPCC is faulty, but nonetheless used by its followers, such as the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the EPA.

These faulty methods lead to great exaggeration of the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide, methane, and other minor greenhouse gases. . . .

Sheahan shows the stunning agreement between the calculations of van Wijngaarden and Happer (W & H) with satellite measurements (and balloon measurements) of outgoing infrared radiation emitted by the earth to space . . .

Sheahan claims, because of the exceptionally good agreement between observational data and the calculations of W & H, we can conclude the W&H model has been validated.

The W&H model embodies the scientific method.

In that case, it is reasonable to use it to study other hypothetical cases.

It is not possible to do so with IPCC models, which have never achieved agreement with observations. . . 

See Appendix 3

The gist of the H&W work is the greenhouse effect of CO2 in the atmosphere is almost entirely saturated, such that any additional CO2 can have almost no additional warming effect.

Here is a chart prepared by Sheahan to illustrate the H&W results.

As atmospheric CO2 increases, say from 380 to 420 ppm, it has less warming effect.

The most warming effect occurs at very low levels of CO2, say 20 to 60 ppm.

APPENDIX 5

 

A timely and important new paper has just been uploaded to the CO2 Coalition website on nitrogen.

The first half of the paper on the greenhouse warming effect of N2O is quite technical

It is summarized in the first link.

Link to the full paper is at the bottom. Please distribute widely.

 

Authors: Will Happer, C. A. de Lange, William Wijngaarden and J.D. Ferguson

 

Nitrous Oxide and Climate – Why restricting N2O emissions is unnece...

 

Nitrous oxide (N20) has now joined carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) in the pantheon of “human-generated demon” gases.

GW scare-mongers view increasing concentrations of these molecules are leading to unusual and unprecedented GW, which will lead to catastrophic consequences for both our ecosystems and humanity.

 

Countries around the world are in the process of greatly reducing, or eliminating, the use of nitrogen fertilizers, based on heretofore poorly understood properties of nitrous oxide.

Reductions of N2O emissions of 40 to 45 percent are being proposed in Canada , and by up to 50 percent in the Netherlands .

Sri Lanka’s complete ban on fertilizer in 2021 led to the total collapse of their primarily agricultural economy.

 

The CO2 Coalition has published this paper, which evaluates the GW effect of the N20 and its role in the nitrogen cycle.

 

Policymakers can now proceed to make informed decisions about the costs and benefits of mandated N20 reductions of this beneficial molecule.

 

This new paper joins previous CO2 Coalition reports on other greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane.

Key takeaways from the paper:

 

  • At current rates, a doubling of N2O would occur in more than 400 years.
  • Atmospheric warming by N2O is estimated to be 0.064 C per century.
  • Increasing crop production requires continued application of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer to feed a growing population.

 

Download the entire PDF Nitrous Oxide

  

Methane, CH4, aka, natural gas

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/11/19/methane-much-ado-about-nothing/

 

NOTE: A similar graph can be created for N2O

It is dangerous to be correct in matters, where established men are wrong, by Voltaire

 

 

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Comment by Willem Post on December 10, 2022 at 2:45pm

That “election interference” was nothing short of high treason, because it ousted a legitimately elected Trump with a “fake-elected” Biden-in-the-basement as President; a Coup d’Etat

That gave rise to the Jan6 events, milked ad nauseam by Dem/Progs, to divert attention from the Coup d’Etat

The current Ukraine mania and $100 BILLION federal money PER YEAR for as long as it takes, is just to divert attention from the southern border and the shenanigans of the recent midterm elections 

Comment by Thinklike A. Mountain on December 10, 2022 at 1:31pm

The media and big tech senior leadership needs to be charged, put on trial and put in prison. These companies should be made to pay reparations to the American citizen.


And what a difference the laptop story suppression made. A survey found that 17% of Biden voters in seven swing states would not have voted for President Joe Biden had they known about the story. This is nothing short of the biggest election interference in U.S. history.
https://dailycallernewsfoundation.org/2022/12/10/larry-elder-heres-...

Comment by Thinklike A. Mountain on December 8, 2022 at 12:05pm

Exxon Slaps Biden In Face, Redlines Share Buybacks To $50 Billion Through 2024
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/exxon-cranks-its-share-buyback-pl...

Comment by Thinklike A. Mountain on December 7, 2022 at 11:58pm

 

Maine as Third World Country:

CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power

 

Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.

Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT

******** IF LINKS BELOW DON'T WORK, GOOGLE THEM*********

(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/

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Sign up today and lend your voice and presence to the steadily rising tide that will soon sweep the scourge of useless and wretched turbines from our beloved Maine countryside. For many of us, our little pieces of paradise have been hard won. Did the carpetbaggers think they could simply steal them from us?

We have the facts on our side. We have the truth on our side. All we need now is YOU.

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 -- Mahatma Gandhi

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Vince Lombardi 

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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law

Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future

"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."

https://pinetreewatch.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/

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