Contrary to mis-conceived State/Defense/Intel Department expectations, Russia did not collapse after the pre-planned "mother of all sanctions".
Washington underestimated Russia’s societal cohesion, its military potential, and its immunity to Western economic sanctions.
As a result, Washington’s proxy war against Russia is rapidly failing, despite tank, F-16 jet fighters, and long-range missile shipments to Ukraine, because a united Russian people has realized, the West is aiming to weaken/destroy/dismantle Russia, and divide the "spoils" between the US and Europe.
The defanging/dismantling of a weakened China would be next.
However, Russia's defense industries are operating 24/7
U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin was unusually candid about the situation in Ukraine, when he told the allies in Germany, at Ramstein Air Base, on January 20, 2023, “We have a window of opportunity here, between now and the spring,” albeit admitting, “That’s not a long time.”
Alexei Arestovich, President Zelensky’s recently fired advisor and unofficial “Spinmeister,” was more direct.
He expressed his doubts about "Ukraine can win its war with Russia"
Now, he questions whether Ukraine will ever survive the war.
Ukraine is having huge manpower and material losses, and a 40% reduction in GDP
Ukrainian losses—at least 150,000 dead including 35,000 missing in action and presumed dead—have fatally weakened Ukrainian forces, resulting in a fragile Ukrainian defensive posture , that likely will crumble under the crushing weight of reinforced, attacking Russian forces, during the next few weeks.
Ukraine’s materiel losses are equally severe.
These include thousands of tanks and armored infantry fighting vehicles, artillery systems, ai..., and weapons of all calibers.
These totals include the equivalent of seven years of Javelin missile production.
In a setting, where Russian artillery systems can launch nearly 60,000 items of all types, i.e., rockets, missiles, drones, and hard-shell ammunition each day, Ukrainian forces are hard-pressed to answer these Russian salvos with 6,000 items a day.
New platform and ammunition packages for Ukraine may enrich the Washington defense community, but they cannot change these conditions.
Predictably, Washington’s frustration with the collective West’s failure to stem the tide of a Ukraine defeat is growing. In fact, the frustration is rapidly giving way to desperation.
Michael Rubin, a former Bush appointee and avid supporter of America’s permanent conflicts in the Middle East and Afghanistan, vented his frustration in an article titled 1945 , asserting, “if the world allows Russia to remain a unitary state, and if it allows Putinism to survive Putin, then, Ukraine should be allowed to maintain its own nuclear deterrence, whether it joins NATO or not.”
On its face, the suggestion is reckless, but the statement does accurately reflect the anxiety in Washington circles that a Ukraine defeat is inevitable.
NATO’s members were never strongly united behind the US crusade to fatally weaken Russia. The governments of Hungary and Croatia are publicly stating the wider European public’s opposition to war with Russia, and the lack of support for the US desire to delay Ukraine’s likely defeat.
Though sympathetic to the Ukrainian people, Berlin did not support all-out war with Russia on Ukraine’s behalf. Now, Germans are also uneasy with the catastrophic condition of the German armed forces.
Retired German Air Force General (four-star equivalent) Harald Kujat, former chairman of the NATO Military Committee, severely criticized Berlin for allowing the US to railroad Germany into conflict with Russia, noting, for several decades, German political leaders actively disarmed Germany, and thus deprived Berlin of authority or credibility in Europe.
Although his views were actively suppressed by the German government and government-controlled media, his comments are resonating strongly with the German electorate.
The blunt fact is, in its efforts to secure victory in its proxy war with Russia, the US ignores historical reality.
From the 13th century onward, Ukraine, whether large or small in area, was dominated by larger, more powerful regional powers, such as Lithuania, Poland, Sweden, Austria.
The Russian Empire/USSR being the latest power to control all of Ukraine for the past few hundred years, until 1991
After World War I, unsuccessful Polish designs for an independent Ukrainian State were aimed not to boost Ukraine, but to weaken Bolshevik Russia.
Today, Russia is not communist, nor does Moscow seek the destruction of the Polish State as Trotsky, Lenin, Stalin, and their followers did in 1920.
The present Russia-hating/US-groveling Polish leadership is using "imminent Russian attack" as a fear-mongering tactic to maintain power, and acquire more heavily armed troops stationed on its soil, similar to the Russia-hating leaderships of Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia. Russia-hating is fashionable to reap NATO and EU benefits.
So where are Washington hot-heads headed with their proxy war against Russia?
What is their plan?
The question deserves an answer.
On Sunday December 7, 1941, U.S. Ambassador Averell Harriman was with Prime Minister Sir Winston Churchill having dinner at Churchill’s home, when the BBC broadcast the news, the Japanese had attacked the U.S. Naval Base at Pearl Harbor. Harriman was visibly shocked.
He simply repeated the words, “The Japanese have raided Pearl Harbor.”
Ambassador Harriman likely was not surprised. The Roosevelt administration had done everything in its power to goad Tokyo into attacking U.S. forces in the Pacific, with a series of hostile policy decisions , culminating in Washington’s oil embargo during the summer of 1941.
What was the Japan leadership thinking? That leadership knew, Japan was poor in energy and other resources! It had no business waking a sleeping giant.
During World War II, Washington was lucky with timing and allies.
This time it’s different.
Washington and its NATO allies are advocating a full-blown war against Russia, the violent breakup of the Russian Federation, plus the destruction of millions of lives in Russia and Ukraine.
Washington's cabal is emoting, not thinking. Washington is overtly hostile to empiricism and truth.
Neither we, nor our allies are physically prepared to fight all-out war with Russia, regionally or globally.
The point is, if war breaks out between Russia and the United States, Americans should not be surprised.
The Biden administration and its bipartisan supporters in Washington are doing all they can to make it happen, as the Roosevelt administration did with Japan..
LIST OF ARTICLES
UKRAINE A GEO-POLITICAL PAWN OF US/UK/NATO TO WEAKEN RUSSIA
UKRAINE WAR, A MOVE BY THE US/EU TO PRESERVE HEGEMONY AND PREVENT A MULTI-POLAR WORLD
WHITNEY: SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT-STUFF YOU SHOULD KNOW ABOUT UKRAINE
THE US-INSTIGATED, DANGEROUS, UKRAINE IMBROGLIO
UKRAINE ROCKED BY CORRUPTION SCANDAL, WAVE OF TOP OFFICIALS RESIGN: Sports Cars, Mansions & Luxury Vacations While Ukraine People Suffer
NORD STREAM SABOTAGE WAS CIA, US NAVY COVERT OP: Seymour Hersh Bombshell Prompts White House Response
By the way, all of this, including rolling blackouts at ZUB-ZERO temperatures, and a lack of gas and oil for space heating, applies to New England, if:
1) New York State keeps obstructing new gas pipelines from Pennsylvania to New England; THIS SHOULD BE LEGALLY FORBIDDEN AS AN UNCONSTITUTIONAL INTERFERENCE OF INTER-STATE COMMERCE, and
2) The New England oil, gas and coal storage capacities near power plants are not increased by at least 100% to ensure RELIABLE ELECTRICAL SERVICE IN WINTER, WHICH WOULD BE ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT, IF UNCERTAIN, MOTHER-NATURE, WEATHER-DEPENDENT WIND AND SOLAR WERE FURTHER EXPANDED, AS THE US AIMS TO BLINDLY COPY THAT DISASTROUS EUROPEAN SCENARIO
These articles and image are provided for reference.
ISO-NE REPORT OF 2021 ECONOMIC STUDY: FUTURE GRID RELIABILITY STUDY PHASE 1
DEEP DIVE SUMMARY OF THE ISO-NE REPORT
LIFE WITHOUT OIL
Life without oil means many products that are made with oil, such as the hundreds listed below, would need to be provided by wind and solar and hydro.
Folks, including Biden's attendants, wanting to get rid of fossil fuels, such as crude oil, better start doing some rethinking.
The above also applies to natural gas, which is much preferred by many industries
If you do not have abundant low-cost energy, you cannot have modern industrial economies.
These articles contain significant information regarding wind, solar and grid-scale battery systems
GRID-SCALE BATTERY SYSTEMS IN NEW ENGLAND TO COUNTERACT SHORTFALL OF ONE-DAY WIND/SOLAR LULL
COLD WEATHER OPERATION IN NEW ENGLAND DECEMBER 24, 2017 TO JANUARY 8, 2018
ANALYSIS OF WIND AND SOLAR ENERGY LULLS AND ENERGY STORAGE IN GERMANY
IRELAND FUEL AND CO2 REDUCTIONS DUE TO WIND ENERGY LESS THAN CLAIMED
BATTERY SYSTEM CAPITAL COSTS, OPERATING COSTS, ENERGY LOSSES, AND AGING
HIGH COSTS OF WIND, SOLAR, AND BATTERY SYSTEMS IN US NORTHEAST
CO2 is a Life Gas; No CO2 = No Life
These articles explain a lot about the world-wide “Climate Crisis” scam, based on highly compromised surface station measurements, which typically read HIGH.
Climate scientists SUBJECTIVELY adjust the readings for use in their SUBJECTIVE computerized-temperature-calculation programs, which are used in the reports of IPCC, etc., for scare-mongering purposes.
New Surface Stations Report Released – It’s ‘worse than we thought’
Weather- Just how does it happen?
A summary of the results of three “Physics of the Earth’s Atmosphere” papers, which were submitted for peer review at the Open Peer Review Journal.
Satellites and balloons measure temperatures of the Troposphere, which starts at ground level, and has an average height of 59,000 ft at the tropics, 56,000 ft at the middle latitudes, and 20,000 ft at the poles. Above those levels starts the Stratosphere.
Balloons directly measure temperatures. Satellites measure radiation, from which temperatures are calculated.
Both consistently measure much lower temperatures than the average of 102 computer-generated graphs.
See Appendix 2 and 3
The data in the below images is for a 43-y period.
There is global warming, but it is not anywhere near as much as scare-mongers are claiming.
1) Objective satellite and balloon temperatures increased from 0.00 to 0.5 C, or, or 0.116 C/decade
2) Subjective computer-generated temperatures increased from 0.00 to 1.20 C; or 0.28 C/decade, about 2.7 TIMES AS FAST
The temperature data by satellites and balloons are more accurate than land-based measurements.
See Appendix 2 and URL
Satellite measurements are made many times during every day and systematically cover almost the entire world; +/- 85-degree latitude.
The satellite data is vastly more complete, and accurate than would be gathered by ground stations. (See Appendix 2)
Balloon measurements, made on a sampling basis, are vastly less complete than satellite measurements, but they serve as a useful crosscheck on the satellite measurements.
NOTE: Behind the 102 computer graphs are hundreds of organizations that likely receive a significant part of their revenues from governments and subsidy-receiving wind, solar, battery, etc., businesses.
The livelihood and career prospects of the people creating these graphs is more secure, if they aim high, rather than low.
NOTE: The bottom dotted, squiggly graph is the Russian Model (IMM-C-M4), which is close to the balloon and satellite data.
A more detailed view of satellite temperatures.
Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) and also a member of the CO2 Coalition. Sheahen and the Coalition are collaborating on a brief.
SEPP’s October 8 newsletter contains a summary of a major 2021 paper by Happer and co-author William van Wijngaarden that completely undermines the fake “science” the IPCC and EPA used to support the case of climate alarm.
Sheahen specifically discusses the efforts of Professors William van Wijngaarden and William Happer in their pioneering work in calculating the real-world Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) of the five most common Green-House Gases (GHGs).
Sheahan explains why the approach used by IPCC is faulty, but nonetheless used by its followers, such as the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the EPA.
These faulty methods lead to great exaggeration of the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide, methane, and other minor greenhouse gases. . . .
Sheahan shows the stunning agreement between the calculations of van Wijngaarden and Happer (W & H) with satellite measurements (and balloon measurements) of outgoing infrared radiation emitted by the earth to space . . .
Sheahan claims, because of the exceptionally good agreement between observational data and the calculations of W & H, we can conclude the W&H model has been validated.
The W&H model embodies the scientific method.
In that case, it is reasonable to use it to study other hypothetical cases.
It is not possible to do so with IPCC models, which have never achieved agreement with observations. . .
See Appendix 3
The gist of the H&W work is the greenhouse effect of CO2 in the atmosphere is almost entirely saturated, such that any additional CO2 can have almost no additional warming effect.
Here is a chart prepared by Sheahan to illustrate the H&W results.
As atmospheric CO2 increases, say from 380 to 420 ppm, it has less warming effect.
The most warming effect occurs at very low levels of CO2, say 20 to 60 ppm.
A timely and important new paper has just been uploaded to the CO2 Coalition website on nitrogen.
The first half of the paper on the greenhouse warming effect of N2O is quite technical
It is summarized in the first link.
Link to the full paper is at the bottom. Please distribute widely.
Authors: Will Happer, C. A. de Lange, William Wijngaarden and J.D. Ferguson
Nitrous Oxide and Climate – Why restricting N2O emissions is unnece...
Nitrous oxide (N20) has now joined carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) in the pantheon of “human-generated demon” gases.
GW scare-mongers view increasing concentrations of these molecules are leading to unusual and unprecedented GW, which will lead to catastrophic consequences for both our ecosystems and humanity.
Countries around the world are in the process of greatly reducing, or eliminating, the use of nitrogen fertilizers, based on heretofore poorly understood properties of nitrous oxide.
Reductions of N2O emissions of 40 to 45 percent are being proposed in Canada , and by up to 50 percent in the Netherlands .
Sri Lanka’s complete ban on fertilizer in 2021 led to the total collapse of their primarily agricultural economy.
The CO2 Coalition has published this paper, which evaluates the GW effect of the N20 and its role in the nitrogen cycle.
Policymakers can now proceed to make informed decisions about the costs and benefits of mandated N20 reductions of this beneficial molecule.
This new paper joins previous CO2 Coalition reports on other greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane.
Key takeaways from the paper:
- At current rates, a doubling of N2O would occur in more than 400 years.
- Atmospheric warming by N2O is estimated to be 0.064 C per century.
- Increasing crop production requires continued application of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer to feed a growing population.
Download the entire PDF Nitrous Oxide
It is dangerous to be correct in matters, where established men are wrong, by Voltaire