Net Zero Will Lead to the End of Modern Civilization, Says Top Scientist

Net Zero Will Lead to the End of Modern Civilization, Says Top Scientist

Authored by Chris Morrison via

A damning indictment of the Net Zero political project has been made by one of the world’s leading nuclear physicists.

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Comment by Willem Post on January 20, 2023 at 4:35pm

 Energy Cost Reduction Due to HPs is Minimal


- HP electricity consumption was from my electric bills

- Vermont electricity prices, including taxes, fees and surcharges, are about 20 c/kWh.

- My HPs provide space heat to 2,300 sq ft, about the same area as an average Vermont house

- Two small propane heaters provide space heat to my 1,300 sq ft basement

- I operate my HPs at temperatures of 15F to 20F, or greater; less $/h than propane

- I operate my wall-hung propane heater at temperatures of 15F to 20F, or less; less $/h than HP


- My average HP coefficient of performance, COP, was 2.64

- My HPs required 2,489 kWh to displace 35% of my fuel.

- My HPs would require 8,997 kWh, to replace 100% of my fuel.


- The average Vermont house COP is about 3.34, because the HPs typically operate at about 28F to 35F and above

- The average Vermont house requires 2,085 kWh to displace 27.6% of its fuel, per VT-DPS/CADMUS survey. See URL


Before HPs: I used 100 gal for domestic hot water + 250 gal for 2 stoves in basement + 850 gal for Viessmann furnace, for a total propane of 1,200 gal/y


After HPs: I used 100 gal for DHW + 250 gal for 2 stoves in basement + 550 gal for Viessmann furnace + 2,489 kWh of electricity.


My propane cost reduction for space heating was 850 - 550 = 300 gallon/y, at a cost of 2.339/gal = $702/y

My displaced fuel was 100 x (1 - 550/850) = 35%, which is better than the Vermont average of 27.6%

My purchased electricity cost increase was 2,489 kWh x 20 c/kWh = $498/y

If I were to use my HPs to replace all propane, my savings are about $189/y. See table 1


My energy cost savings due to the HPs were 702 - 498 = $204/y, on an investment of $24,000!!


Amortizing Heat Pumps


Amortizing the $24,000 turnkey capital cost at 3.5%/y for 15 years costs about $2,059/y.

This is in addition to the amortizing of my existing propane system. I am losing money.


Other Annual Costs


There likely would be service calls and parts for the HP system, as the years go by.

This is in addition to the annual service calls and parts for my existing propane system. I am losing more money.


Table 1

Vermont HPs

My HPs

My HPs, if 100%

Before HPs

Per CADMUS survey


Fuel Displacement, %






Down to 28F

Down to 15F

Down to -10F

Purchased electricity, kWh




Standby, kWh




Defrost, kWh




Electricity to HPs, kWh




COP, excl HP self-use




Space heat, kWh








Space heat, Btu/site







Btu/gal, LHV





Unit cost





Electricity cost, $




Propane, gal




Propane cost, $



Total energy cost, $




Energy savings, $



Comment by Willem Post on January 14, 2023 at 11:08am

Vermont cannot repeal its dysfunctional GWSA, because it copied the identical GWSA of dysfunctional California, which is losing 250,000 to 300,000 tax-paying, long-term, well-off, residents PER YEAR.

They are offset by poor, uneducated, inexperienced, dysfunctional, bracero-type people, who, unvetted, from God knows where, walk across Biden’s open border, who are, for free, sucking from the Social Security System, Medicare/Medicaid System, and get free rent, free food, free clothes and shelter, and pay no taxes.

They eventually will take the jobs of similar black and hispanic people who were born in the U.S.

The craziness of it all is off the charts.
It will lead to more uncontrollable crime, chaos, dysfunction and strife in the U.S., a prelude to its downfall.

Comment by Willem Post on January 14, 2023 at 11:06am

GWSA has a “Heat Standard”, that includes “transitioning to heat pumps”

Here is the miserable HP experience of Vermonters.

The VT-DPS had a study performed of HEAT PUMPS in Vermont in 2017.


CADMUS Survey of Vermont Air Source Heat Pumps

CADMUS, an energy consultant hired by the Vermont Department of Public Service, DPS, in 2017, performed a survey of 77 HPs at 65 sites, in Vermont. See URL of CADMUS report

VT-DPS was ordered by the Vermont legislature to obtain an “independent” study, because many people with air source heat pumps had complained, they did not get anywhere near the annual energy cost savings stated on websites, etc., of GMP, BED, VPIRG, VT-DPS, EAN, EFFICIENCY VERMONT, etc.,

The CADMUS report was written in such a confusing way, the average Vermonter, including almost all legislators, would not be able to understand it. In fact, they would be more confused by it.

Unless they had a mechanical engineering degree, with applicable HVAC system experience.
I do have the degree and experience, so I could analyze it.

CADMUS used a decades-old, standard, HVAC computer program that takes the hourly temperature history of a heating season (or averages, say 5 heating seasons). The temperature history is obtained from US weather data

The computer program allocates the frequency and duration of temperatures to two-degree temperature intervals, also called “bins”.
See URL of CADMUS report; horizontal axis of figure 14

The space heat to a site is calculated for each two-degree bin, say 32 F – 34 F, 34 F – 36 F, 36 F – 38 F, etc.
The total space heat to a site is obtained by adding the space heats for all two-degree bins.

Figure 14 also shows, the aggregate electricity consumption, kWh, of all heat pumps is steadily increasing with increasing heating load, until about 30 F.

At temperatures below 30 F, whereas the heating load was increasing, the electricity to heat pumps was decreasing!!

That decrease can only happen, if people TURNED OFF their HPs (to save on electricity costs) and, instead, used their much-less-costly-to-operate traditional heating systems, such as oil, gas, propane and wood stoves.

The CADMUS HVAC computer program calculated the following values, as stated in the CADMUS report:

– Space heat to a site was 92 million Btu, of which 25.35 million from HPs, and 66.65 million from other fuels
– Space heat to all sites was 65 sites x 92 million Btu/site = 5,980 million Btu. See CADMUS URL, page 22
– Space heat from HPs was 77 HPs x 21.4 million Btu/HP = 1,648 million Btu. See CADMUS URL, page 21
– Traditional systems provided 5980 – 1648 = 4,332 million Btu, or 4332/5980 = 72.4% of the total space heat.
– HPs provided only 100 – 72.4 = 27.6% of the total space heat for an average Vermont house

The energy cost savings averaged about $200/y, instead of the $1,200/y to $1,800/y bandied about by GMP, VT-DPS, VPIRG, etc.

After the CADMUS report, those overblown estimates disappeared from HP booster websites.


I have three Mitsubishi HPs ($24,000 – $2,400 subsidy from GMP) in my well-insulated/sealed house.
I displace only 35% of my propane Btus, based on MEASURED consumption data during 3 years.

I do not use my HPs below 15 F, because they are less efficient PER HOUR than my efficient propane furnace.

I save about $200/y in energy costs, but if I amortize the cost of the HPs over 15 years, I lose about $2,000/y

HP boosters Bray, McDonald, etc., know about those dreadful HP results in Vermont, and yet they continue shilling for HPs

Heavily subsidized businesses selling/installing/servicing HPs, etc., will be collecting hundreds of $millions each year over the decades, while already-struggling, over-regulated, over-taxed Vermonters will be further screwed out of a decent standard of living, while all that effort will be having ZERO IMPACT ON GLOBAL WARMING.

Comment by Willem Post on January 11, 2023 at 4:18pm

You are right.

It takes a while for MIT scientists, etc., to adjust to the upcoming multi-polar world

The West will certainly be a loser, if it persists in ruinables 

Comment by Warren Van Wyck on January 11, 2023 at 12:56pm

It will lead to the end of modern civilization in Western Europe, USA, Canada, etc. -- Russia and China are not stupid enough to embrace this concept other than for window-dressing.   They will be masters of the world. 


Maine as Third World Country:

CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power


Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.

Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT


(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.”

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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law

Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future

"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."

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