https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/biden-30-000-mw-of-off...
EXCERPT
New York State bureaucrats have signed contracts for offshore wind projects.
Some time later, the owners said, we request up to 66% more, for our spreadsheets to make business sense.
The increase for the below four projects amounts to $25.35 billion, per Wind Watch.
New York State denied the request on October 12, 2023; “a deal is a deal”, said the Commissioner
Owners want a return on investment of at least 10%/y, and bank loans for risky projects are about 6.5%/y.
The 3.5% is a minimum for all the years of hassles of designing, building, erecting, and paperwork of a project
Below contract prices, paid by Utilities to owners, are after a 50% reduction, due to US subsidies provided, per various laws, by the US Treasury to the owners. See Items 4 and 6
Oersted, Denmark, Sunrise wind, NYS contracted at $110.37/MWh, needs $139.99/MWh, a 27% increase
Equinor, Norway, Empire 1 wind, NYS contracted at $118.38/MWh, needs $159.64/MWh, a 35% increase
Equinor, Norway, Empire 2 wind, NYS contracted at $107.50/MWh, needs $177.84/MWh, a 66% increase
Equinor, Norway, Beacon Wind, NYS contracted at $118.00/MWh, needs $190.82/MWh, a 62% increase
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/liars-lies-exposed-as-...
When the breezy dreams of offshore wind giants met the rocky shores of regulation.
In a move that left offshore wind giants like Orsted, Equinor, and BP staggering while looking forward to tens of $billions of losses on 4 Offshore wind projects, New York’s utility regulator has blown away pleas for contract relief.
“Nearly all of New York’s pacesetting 4.3GW of contracted offshore wind capacity is now in limbo following rejection of developers’ pleas for inflation relief by the state’s utility regulator.”
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Major European countries have given up on Net Zero by 2050, because it is much too expensive. For example, the UK and Norway are making huge investments in developing more oil and gas fields in the North Sea, and Sweden is make big investments in nuclear plants, and has put a stop to more wind turbines.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/net-zero-ship-starting-sink
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European Wind Developers’ Request for $25.35 Billion of Additional Money was Denied
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The developers, caught in the turbulent winds of cost overruns, sought major increases to contract selling prices by a staggering average of 55%. However, the PSC was not swayed by their arguments.
“New York Public Service Commission (PSC) denied petitions by the state’s two offshore wind developers, joint ventures (JVs) of Equinor-BP and Orsted-Eversource, for increases to offtake contracts as high as 55%, which one PSC member reportedly described as ‘breathtaking’.”
Impact on Already-Overstressed Ratepayer a Major Concern, with Election Coming Up
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The PSC stood its ground, prioritizing the interests of ratepayers over the financial woes of developers.
The commission emphasized, the proposed contract increases were not in line with New York State policy objectives.
“Regulator said cost hikes of up to 55% would have substantial ratepayer impacts and were ‘fundamentally inconsistent’ with commission policy.”
The Uncertain Path Ahead
The decision leaves a significant portion of New York’s offshore wind capacity in a state of uncertainty.
The ambitious plans of these offshore developers now seem to be at the mercy of regulatory scrutiny and economic practicality.
The future trajectory of these projects remains unclear amidst this regulatory challenge.
Conclusion: Navigating the Regulatory Landscape
The PSC’s decision underscores an interplay of economic considerations and, (finally!) some regulatory prudence in the renewable energy sector.
Developers, perhaps for the first time, face the task of advancing their projects amidst economic fluctuations, having to deal with regulatory expectations and safeguarding ratepayer interests.
We’ll see how many walk away from projects, and what the penalties will be for reneging on signed contracts.
Source of this article:
https://www.rechargenews.com/wind/blow-to-orsted-equinor-and-bp-as-...
European Big Wind Conglomerates in Deep Financial Trouble
The above is an example of European Big Wind conglomerates trying to coerce additional funds from New York ratepayers and taxpayers for at least 20 years, because they keep bidding at lower prices, $/MWh, than they should
In addition, we are seeing the early stages of worldwide resistance against the constraints and costs of net zero policies
Investors are ditching renewable energy, and ESG, funds faster than any other investment funds on record.
Reuters reports , renewable energy funds suffered a net outflow of $1.4 billion in the July to September 2023 quarter. This marks the largest-ever quarterly outflow, signaling a significant retreat from the sector.
LSEG Lipper data shows this to be the largest-ever quarterly outflow.
There was also a 23 percent decrease from the end of June of the total assets under management in the sector—now valued at $65.4 billion.
The S&P Global Clean Energy Index, comprised of major solar and wind power companies and other renewables-related businesses, is down 32% in 2023, most of that in the last three months, i.e., in free-fall. The peak occurred before the start of the Ukraine events. The smart money sold and others sold as well.
The industry stocks hardly growing from 2014 to 2020, overpromised starting about 2020, and submitted bids at prices, $/MWh, that were too low, while costs were increasing much greater than estimated, due to interest rates, inflation, energy/component/labor, a lack of specialized ships, plus supply chain constraints.
Plus, starting in 2020, it experienced O&M/MWh costs much greater than estimated, due to major design/engineering/quality control deficiencies, such as with Siemens onshore and offshore wind turbines.
Just google
As a result, the industry lost $billions each year, starting about 2020/2021, as reflected by the S&P index
However, the S&P 500 Energy Index (.SPNY), which is heavy in oil, gas and coal, has had an uptrend since before January 2021, even though the governments of the US, the UK and of some European countries have been scare-mongering fossil fuels as evil, and have been restricting exploration licenses, pipeline construction, etc.
It looks like the rest of the world, especially BRICS, are not "playing along".
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APPENDIX
US/UK 66,000 MW OF OFFSHORE WIND BY 2030; AN EXPENSIVE FANTASY
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/biden-30-000-mw-of-off...
BATTERY SYSTEM CAPITAL COSTS, OPERATING COSTS, ENERGY LOSSES, AND AGING
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/battery-system-capital...
Regulatory Rebuff Blow to Offshore Wind Projects; Had Asked for Additional $25.35 billion
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/regulatory-rebuff-blow...
Offshore Wind is an Economic and Environmental Catastrophe
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/offshore-wind-is-an-ec...
Four NY offshore projects ask for almost 50% price rise
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/four-ny-offshore-proje...
EV Owners Facing Soaring Insurance Costs in the US and UK
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/ev-owners-facing-soari...
U.S. Offshore Wind Plans Are Utterly Collapsing
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/u-s-offshore-wind-plan...
Values Of Used EVs Plummet, As Dealers Stuck With Unsold Cars
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/values-of-used-evs-plu...
Electric vehicles catch fire after being exposed to saltwater from Hurricane Idalia
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/electric-vehicles-catc...
Lifetime Performance of World’s First Offshore Wind System in the North Sea
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/lifetime-performance-o...
Solar Panels Are Much More Carbon-Intensive Than Experts are Willing to Admit
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/solar-panels-are-more-...
IRENA, a Renewables Proponent, Ignores the Actual Cost Data for Offshore Wind Systems in the UK
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/irena-a-european-renew...
CO2 IS A LIFE GAS; NO CO2 = NO FLORA AND NO FAUNA
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/co2-is-a-life-gas-no-c...
LIFE WITHOUT OIL?
Life without oil means many products that are made with oil, such as the hundreds listed below, would need to be provided by wind and solar and hydro, which can be done theoretically, but only at enormous cost.
Folks, including Biden's handlers, wanting to get rid of fossil fuels, such as crude oil, better start doing some rethinking.
The above also applies to natural gas, which is much preferred by many industries, such as glass making, and the chemical and drug industries.
If you do not have abundant, low-cost energy, you cannot have modern industrial economies.
Without Crude Oil, there can be no Electricity.
Every experienced engineer knows, almost all the parts of wind, solar and battery systems, for electricity generation and storage, from mining materials to manufacturing parts, to installation and commissioning, in addition to the infrastructures that produce materials, parts, specialized ships, etc., are made from the oil derivatives manufactured from raw crude oil.
There is no escaping of this reality, except in green lalaland.
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