NE Arctic Freeze Dec. 2017 - Jan. 2018 -- Oil to the rescue
This graph displays the ISO NE system demand and fuel usage during the cold spell at the end of December 2017 and beginning of January 2018
Link to Interactive Graph page:
Interactive display of Fuel Usage and Demand during Arctic Freeze
The Fuel Types on the left side Legend can be clicked to display how the fuels stack up. Note the large amount of Oil generation from Dec. 26 to Jan. 9. And the Oil supply was nearly exhausted.
This is the static image - click for Interactive Graph:
And overall greetings (my first post) from Warren Van Wyck, Ferrisburgh, Vermont
Views: 366
Comment
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Comment by Willem Post on November 21, 2021 at 7:17am
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Excerpt from:
WIND AND SOLAR TO PROVIDE 30 PERCENT OF NEW ENGLAND ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION BY 2050
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/wind-and-solar-provide...
BTW, I have added Warren's graph to my article, and some applicable verbiage
Playing Russian Roulette with Reliable Electricity Service to New England
This image shows the NE system demand and fuel usage during the cold spell at the end of December 2017 and beginning of January 2018
Link to Interactive page
The electricity sources, on the left side, can be clicked to display how the fuels stack up.
Interactive display of Fuel Usage and Demand during Arctic FreezePennsylvania is blessed with an abundant supply of gas, but Governor Cuomo, of NY, to display his "climate-change-fighting credentials", had been obstructing, the much needed, extension/augmentation of the pipe lines that are needed to provide reliable electricity service to New England.
Various RE entities in Connecticut and Massachusetts, who had been obstructing, the much needed, augmentation of gas and oil storage capacities, were his allies.
BTW, similar tactics had been used by such RE folks in California, which resulted in major havoc during a US southwest heat wave.
As a result of these RE tactics, the NE dual-fuel gas plants, that reliably, and efficiently, produce steady, low-CO2, low-cost electricity, did not have enough gas during the cold spell, because much of the Pennsylvania supply was diverted for building heating in Boston and other cities.
Those plants were forced to use much more expensive oil, which is much "dirtier", and has much more CO2/kWh than gas.
Rolling black-outs, and 100% black-outs, were imminent, because the stored oil supply was almost used up.
Millions of people would have been freezing their butts off, in the dark, with leaking pipes.
Note the large amount of oil generation (grey) from Dec. 26 to Jan. 9
Note the cold spell temperatures (thin line) from Dec. 26 to Jan. 9
These URLs provide examples of wind/solar lull conditions
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/analysis-of-a-6-day-lu...
http://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/wind-plus-solar-plus-st...
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/wind-and-solar-energy-...
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Dan,
Those comments are correct.Cuomo is at fault
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Comment by Dan McKay on November 20, 2021 at 6:23am
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Here's NextEra talking about Wyman Station, it's oil-fired generation plant in Yarmouth :
“While these assets are not called upon to run frequently, they play an important role in supporting the reliability of the electric system, and that has real economic value,” NextEra said.
The report also quoted a spokesman for the Massachusetts Municipal Wholesale Electric Co., which owns a small percent of Wyman’s output on behalf of 12 Massachusetts municipal utilities.
“Natural gas pipeline constraints, particularly in the winter months, are forcing New England to rely more on oil units like Wyman to ensure electric system reliability,” said David Tuohey. “That will continue to be the case until the region builds new gas pipeline capacity for electric generation, which will provide some relief to reliability issues and the economic stress of high and volatile electricity prices.”
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Steve,
That would make excellent sense.Small Modular Reactors, SMRs, are commonly used in the navies of several countries, already for 60 years.
Five, 120 MW units would create a highly reliable 600 MW plant, built mostly in factories that have been building them for decades.
At least one hundred 120 MW modules could be built each year
Major assemblies would be transported by rail or barge to the plant site, for final assembly.
The big plants, with two 1300 MW units, take about 8 years to build and are much more expensive per MW?
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Comment by Steve Thurston on November 19, 2021 at 6:29pm
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Thank you Warren for this interactive graph and congratulations on your computer skills and initiative to make this happen!
Throughout the period shown Seabrook Nuclear, I assume, (orange) is running at a constant near 80% capacity (and has for 30 years) providing about 25% of system demand. Wouldn't it make sense to add two more modern nuclear generators and balance fluctuations in demand with hydro and a bit of natural gas and forget oil and unreliable, redundant, and expensive wind and solar?
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Warren,
Thank you much for this great graph.
It has found a prominent home in my 30% W+S article.
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ISO-NE understands the peril of just-in -time natural gas which often fails to have enough fuel available in the New England pipelines during cold snaps when heating systems gobble up most of the NG.
ISO-NE incentivized dual fuel plants ( NG and oil ) and stand alone oil-fired plants to store enough of fuel to cover NG, Wind, Solar, etc. during cold snaps.
We, the ratepayers pay so much more for reliability since the great onslaught of junk wind and solar plants.
Now, ISO-Ne is being bullied by state governments to find a way to make solar and wind reliable so that fossil fuels can go away. Brace yourself, you haven't seen the real skyrocketing costs of reliability yet
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Welcome, Warren, and thank you for this post and the link!
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Comment by Monique Aniel Thurston on November 19, 2021 at 2:32pm
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Welcome to the Taskforce Warren ! This graph needs to be sent to the Vermont and Maine Legislature and both Governor Mills and Scott.
Best
Monique Thurston.
Maine as Third World Country:
CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power
Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.
Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT
******** IF LINKS BELOW DON'T WORK, GOOGLE THEM*********
(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/
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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law
Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future
"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."
https://pinetreewatch.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/
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