Download Excel analysis at:
We keep hearing that unless the Maine Power Reliability Program (CMP upgrade) is built out, our grid may fail at some point in the future.
Population growth is always cited as one of the reasons.
But a quick look at U.S. Census data reveals that between 2010 and 2030, Maine's population is forecasted to grow by only 4.0%, (that's TOTAL, not annually) which is only one 22% of the 17.7% population forecasted for the nation. In other words, we are about 78% below average.
New England as a region, as well as the Mid-Atlantic region are similar to Maine:
Where the growth is:
Source of census data:
Excel analysis attachment:
If it's not population growth, and if our appliances, light bulbs, etc. are getting increasingly efficient, how about we get full disclosure that this upgrade is driven in large part to accommodate the 2,700 nameplate MW of wind factory called for by Maine's expedited wind law?
How convenient that Governor Baldacci was able to blame this all on "aging lines" and population. How convenient that the wind companies, who could not build their wind factories without this transmission, get the ratepayer to pick up the tab for them.
This is not just Maine, it's all across ISO-NE and the total tab for the ISO-NE could be $30 billion. Maine ratepayers make up 8% of the grid and will be asked to pick up 8% of the $30 billion tab.
Any cost/benefit analysis of wind power in Maine must take into account the lion's share of these new transmission expenses.