Russian/Ukraine Grain deal cancellation to hit EU, China and Turkey the most

Russian/Ukraine Grain deal cancellation to hit EU, China and Turkey the most

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The European Union, China and Turkey will experience negative consequences of the termination of the grain deal, a Turkish source in the field of international agricultural trade told TASS on Monday, July 17.

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"In the event of a real and complete cancellation of the grain agreement, we will face a serious increase in grain prices on a global scale.

This will affect the EU, especially Germany, China and Turkey.

These states received most of the exported grain," the source said.

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Earlier on Monday, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said, Russia informed Ankara, Kyiv and the UN about its objections to the extension of the grain deal.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced his intention to hold talks with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin to discuss the Black Sea grain initiative.

"I believe that Russian President Putin wants the Black Sea grain deal to continue to function," Erdogan said.

In addition, the Turkish president said, Turkish and Russian Foreign Ministers Hakan Fidan and Sergey Lavrov will discuss the Black Sea initiative by phone. He did not specify when the talks would take place.

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The countries of the European Union were the main recipients of Ukrainian agricultural products within the framework of the grain deal.

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EU 12.4 million metric tons of various products, of which: 

Italy 2.1 million metric tons

Spain 2.06 million metric tons

The Netherlands 1.9 million metric tons, and

The US/UK told Ukraine to ship low-cost grain to Russian allies to deny Russia those markets, such as:

China 7.96 million metric tons

Turkey 3.2 million metric tons

Egypt 1.6 million metric tons

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Poorer Asian and African countries received 768,600 metric tons of agricultural products (2.3 percent) during the entire grain deal period.

Russia likely will provide that entire quantity to these poorer countries for free, because it had huge crops in 2023.

A total of 32.8 million metric tons were exported by Ukraine, while the one-sided deal was in effect, with almost all of it sold by Ukraine to higher-income countries.

The West claimed, the one-sided, grain deal, and the de-mined, “humanitarian corridor” was justified by the need to help impoverished countries with food supplies, but that turned out to be far from reality; a mere PR ruse by the government-controlled Western Media.

The one-sided deal had become a purely commercial project for lining the pockets of Ukraine's major landowners and international grain traders, such as US Cargill, etc., while providing the Kiev regime more resources for its armed conflict against Russia.

In addition, Ukraine, using the “humanitarian corridor”, as a cover, bombed Russian targets with unmanned, remotely controlled, high-speed boats, likely supplied by the U.K., which “advises” the Ukraine armed forces.

Russia responded by pulling out of the one-sided deal, after written contract clauses regarding Russian grain exports were not implemented by the West, even after multiple extensions, for almost one year; the West, as usual, was jerking Russia around.

Russia partially destroyed Ukraine’s grain export infrastructures, including those at the Reni and Izmail ports on the Danube River (which flows into the Black Sea), as retribution for Ukraine’s repeated attacks on Russian targets, such as the Crimea Bridge, with two, US-supplied, remotely controlled, torpedos moving just below the surface, to enable their antennas to receive remote signals from a ground station in Ukraine, or from a US drone flying a few hundred miles from the bridge.

Ukraine’s plan was to export from those Danube ports to the Black Sea territorial waters of Rumania (a NATO member) and proceed from there, but the infrastructure damage partially scuttled that plan.

Ukraine, in violation of the “humanitarian” grain deal agreement, had been using the bombed grain storage facilities to hide personnel, equipment and ammunition, which was likely known to the US/UK, but likely not known to Russia, but was revealed after numerous secondary explosions.

At present, the Ukraine crops are being harvested by mostly using expensive land transportation to export them, because:

1) The ports have been blocked with mines, and

2) Commercial ship owners do not wish to endanger their ships and crews, and pay much higher insurance rates.

NOTE: Africa received 11.5 million metric tons of Russian grain in 2022, and has already been supplied with almost 10 million tons in 2023, using Russian ships, and Russian insurance.
Russia gets paid in rubles, thereby avoiding the weaponized SWIFT system

Russia offered free grain to six African countries. Shipments will be ready within months.

Burkina Faso, Zimbabwe, Mali, Somali, the Central African Republic, and Eritrea will each receive 25,000 to 50,000 tons of grain.

Russia will also cover the delivery and insurance costs of the shipments