Heating Industry Letter To NE Governors RE Power Outages

Dear Governor: On December 6, New England’s electric grid operator warned that your state is at “heightened risk” of power outages this winter. According to ISO New England President Gordon van Welie, “controlled power outages” would most likely occur during an extended period of extreme cold, when, for millions of local residents and their families, working home heating equipment is not a luxury but an absolute necessity. “The almost 15 million people that live in this region need to understand that we are in a precarious position when it gets into extended extreme weather, particularly cold weather,” van Welie said. “This problem is not going to go away. It’s going to gradually get worse as a result of us needing to reduce the use of fossil fuels and because extreme weather I think is going to be a big variable in the equation.”

We write you today on behalf of the thousands of home heating providers who are responsible for keeping well over 5 million of those nearly 15 million people warm and safe by servicing their heating equipment and delivering heating oil, propane, and renewable liquid heating fuels like biodiesel-blended Bioheat Fuel.

To our members, those millions of people are not ratepayers — they’re neighbors, friends and family.
For their health and safety, as well as that of all New Englanders, we call on you to issue a moratorium on utility-funded conversions to natural gas and electric heating systems.
As we recently saw in Texas, wintertime power outages would disproportionately devastate the most vulnerable groups among our states’ populations: seniors, infants, people with severe health conditions, and especially, low- or no-income households. It was less than 10 months ago that Texas’s own “controlled power outages” led to the deaths of more than 700 people.

During that catastrophe, 4.5 million Texas homes and businesses — about 69% — lost power, along with access to basic necessities like clean drinking water.

If even half that percentage were to lose power in New England, more than 5 million would be forced to go without heat or hot water during dangerous freezing conditions.
As of December 8, 2021, approximately 57% of our region’s power comes from natural gas.

ISO New England concedes that increasing natural gas prices and worsening supply constraints put our region at greater risk of power outages. In the event of prolonged cold weather, Peter Brandien, vice president of system operations and market administration for ISO New England, advises people to “turn down your thermostats so that you’re not using as much electricity or gas to heat your homes.”

The situation is similarly concerning for NYISO, the operator of New York’s grid, which is interconnected with New England’s power system. “The latest study demonstrates that our reliability margins are thinning to concerning levels…” said Zach Smith, vice president of system and resource planning for NYISO. “We have to move carefully with the grid in transition in order to maintain reliability and avoid the kind of problems we’ve seen in other parts of the U.S.”

Consider that some 9.6 million Texas homes — 96% — are heated by electricity or natural gas. This includes 6.1 million electric heating systems (61%) and 3.5 million running on natural gas (35%).

We can all agree that Texas’s recent tragedy is not the future that New Englanders want to see, yet that is exactly where our region is headed, as all six of our states have utility-funded programs in place promoting the installation of heating systems that threaten to further constrain our critical energy infrastructure.
Knowing all this, how can our states justify encouraging more residents to convert to natural gas and electric heat pumps?

Make no mistake: our companies do not oppose their states’ net-zero emission goals; on the contrary, we share them. We have committed to reduce emissions 15% by 2023, 40% by 2030, and to achieve net-zero by 2050 using blends of renewable liquid heating fuels. Two of our states — Rhode Island and Connecticut — have passed laws requiring heating oil dealers to deliver increasingly higher blends of biofuels, culminating at 50%. Additionally, Massachusetts regulations provide incentives for companies that deliver blends of 10% or higher.

New Hampshire has a law protecting consumers’ energy choice, thereby prohibiting bans on biofuel-compatible heating equipment or requirements for residents to convert to electric heat pumps or natural gas systems. Heating oil dealers fought for these laws because we too recognize the importance of removing greenhouse gases and particulate matter emissions from the atmosphere to protect our planet and our communities for future generations.

We also recognize that our clean-energy solution — renewable liquid heating fuel — offers a quicker, more reliable path to net-zero emissions than electric heat pumps that depend on a natural gas-fueled power grid, or natural gas heating systems that further constrain the grid while emitting harmful and highly explosive methane.

On top of all this, as our grid operators know, liquid heating fuel has more power generating potential, as measured by stored energy density, than virtually every other energy source used today.

That is why power plants turn to fuel oil as a source of backup generation when natural gas supplies are severely constrained.

Our product delivers more heat at lower emissions with greater power generating potential, and yet State utility commissions have decided to facilitate policies reliant on monopolies that have been unsuccessful at meeting the region’s demand for natural gas and electricity.
Enough is enough. We cannot stand idly by while dangerous electrification policies and system conversions put our neighbors and communities at risk. Given what happened in Texas and the warnings from ISO New England, our states should immediately abandon efforts to convert homes to natural gas or electric heating. The lives of our states’ residents — your constituents — may very well depend on it.


Connecticut Energy Marketers Association Energy Marketers Association of New Hampshire Energy Marketers Association of Rhode Island Maine Energy Marketers Association Massachusetts Energy Marketers Association National Energy and Fuels Institute Vermont Fuel Dealers Association

See following link for full letter, including footnotes.



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Comment by Willem Post on December 23, 2021 at 6:31am




Distrust in Government


I am not surprised at the lack of public trust in Washington, DC, and elsewhere. The games of smoke and mirrors played in Washington are off-the-charts outrageous.


Never, ever, has there been such a level of deceit, as Democrats have inflicted on the US People, since January 2021, after using a fraudulent election in 2020 (see Appendix), to achieve a coup d’etat, to relentlessly push for a major increase of:


1) The size and intrusiveness of government, and

2) Democrat command/control over the federal government and the American people.


Here is a most egregious example:


Build Back Better' Would Cost $4.490 Trillion Over the Next Decade, if Provisions Were Made to Last 10 Years



PHASE 1; All BBB programs have carefully chosen expiration dates


Some BBB Bill History


The cost of the original BBB bill was $6.0 trillion, as crafted by left-leaning Sanders. When that proved to be a non-starter, he “whittled it down” to an alleged $3.5 trillion, which, he declared, was the “absolute minimum”. Whittled down means, he shortened the duration of some programs from 10 years to 1 year, or 2 years, etc., as explained in next sections. See table 1


Manchin, a moderate US Senator from West Virginia, who knows how to co-operate with moderate Republicans, had stated, he would consider a BBB bill costing about $1.5 trillion. 



Frustrated Sanders and White House staff further whittled down the cost of the BBB bill from $3.5 to $1.75 trillion, to placate Manchin, mainly by shortening program durations. See table 1



Manchin and Sanders had frequent shouting matches about:


1) BBB budgeting smoke-and-mirror shenanigans, such as short program durations to reduce costs

2) BBB causing a major increase in the size, bureaucrat headcount, and intrusiveness of the federal government

3) BBB worsening high inflation rates in 2022, and beyond

4) BBB worsening multi-billion US budget deficits in 2022, and beyond

5) BBB worsening the rapidly-growing US national debt

6) BBB worsening US trade competitiveness and US trade deficits

7) BBB worsening the precarious financial condition of the Social Security and Medicare Systems. See Note


The BBB bill is a Green New Deal cornucopia for boosting Democrat constituencies. See table 1

The BBB bill, aka “budget reconciliation bill,” has morphed into a vast expansion and increase of:


1) The socialistic welfare state for individuals, and

2) The decades-long bonanza for multi-millionaire subsidy-seekers in the renewable energy sector.

Comment by Willem Post on December 22, 2021 at 10:30am

The EU is facing an energy crisis, because:

1) Brussels’ RE idiots refused to sign long-term contract for gas from Russia
2) NATO and the US are stupidly trying to contain and pressure Russia.
3 There is minimal wind, minimal solar, and some nuclear plants are down with “issues”
4) Russia retaliated by merely limiting gas flow to the EU to CONTRACTED amounts, plus 5%, to ensure TOTAL compliance with SIGNED contracts.
5) Owners are diverting LNG carriers to the EU to rake in on the bonanza.
US spot price $7/million Btu
EU spot price $65/million Btu

7) The 5% is sold by Gazprom on the spot market at very high prices.



Energy systems analysts of Denmark, Ireland, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, etc., have known for decades, if you have a significant percentage of (wind + solar) on your grid, you better have available:
– An adequate capacity, MW, of other power plants to counteract any variations of (W+S), 24/7/365
– High-capacity, MW, connections to nearby grids
– An adequate capacity of energy storage, such as:

1) Pumped hydro storage
2) Hydro plants with reservoir storage
3) Grid-scale battery systems

The more presence of variable (W+S) on the NE grid, the more the other generators have to vary their outputs, which causes these other generators to be less efficient (more wear and tear, more Btu/kWh, more CO2/kWh).

Owners in European countries with much wind and solar on the grids get compensated for their losses.

Those compensations are charged to the general public, not to the Owners of wind and solar systems, as part of the political (subsidy + cost shifting) regimen, to make wind and solar appear price-competitive versus fossil fuels.

RE folks often advocate:
1) Electricity must be 100% renewable, or zero carbon, or carbon-neutral by 2050
2) Getting rid of the remaining nuclear plants
3) Getting rid of natural gas, coal, and oil plants
4) More biomass burning
About This Article

This article has four parts and an Appendix

Part 1 provides an introduction to miscellaneous energy topics, and consumption of world energy quantities
Part 2 provides an introduction to existing NE grid conditions
Part 3 provides an introduction to daily NE grid load shaping, to deal with heat pumps and EVs in 2030
Part 4 provides the future NE grid conditions with 20% wind and 10% solar in 2050

The Appendix shows various energy topics, such as Turnkey Capital Costs of Grid-scale Battery Systems; Grid-scale Battery System Operating Cost in New England; Energy Losses of Battery Systems; “All-in” Electricity Cost of Wind and Solar in New England


Maine as Third World Country:

CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power


Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.

Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT


(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/

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 -- Mahatma Gandhi

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Vince Lombardi 

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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law

Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future

"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."


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