Russia's Conditions for Peace in Ukraine
Russia's Conditions for Peace in Ukraine
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/russia-s-conditions-fo...
BY TYLER DURDEN
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Russia on Monday made clear, it is sticking by initial demands raised by Moscow in February 2022
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov declared:
Russia will never give up Crimea, and the annexed regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts.
Russia's control and sovereignty over these territories is essentially non-negotiable.
"The international recognition of Crimea, Sevastopol, the DPR, the LPR, the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions as part of Russia is another imperative," he said. "All the commitments Kiev assumes must be legally binding, contain enforcement mechanisms and be permanent," Lavrov added.
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Image: Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
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Russia also demanded, Ukraine enact legislation to restore and protect Russian language, culture, and churches and monasteries in Ukraine.
About one-third of the country has spoken Russian as its first language for hundreds of years, and many more know it as a second language.
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Ukraine nationalists have been waging a state persecution campaign against the largest Orthodox Church in Ukraine, because it has not broken spiritual communion with the Moscow Patriarchate, at times outright seizing monasteries and churches, and arresting bishops and priests.
Russian media broadcasts and media have been banned.
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"The second pillar consists of overcoming the legacy of the neo-Nazi regime that usurped power in Kiev after the February 2014 Coup d'Etat, including the initiative by its perpetrators to eradicate and cancel, in both physical and legislative terms, everything Russian, be it the Russian language, media, culture, traditions, or the canonical Orthodox faith," as conveyed in TASS.
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Other agenda items are:
"Demilitarizing and de-Nazifying Ukraine is also on the agenda, along with
lifting sanctions,
withdrawing lawsuits and cancelling arrest warrants
returning Russian assets subjected to the so-called freeze in the West,"
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Of course, there's also the ban on Ukraine ever becoming a member of NATO, which is a key compromise already being offered by the Trump administration.
Again, all of this is essentially identical to the demands articulated by Putin at the very beginning of the full-scale war.
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President Trump, coming off the brief Rome meeting with Zelensky, thinks he's ready to give up Crimea:
US President Donald Trump has said he thinks Zelensky is ready to give up Crimea, despite his Ukrainian counterpart’s previous assertions on the Black Sea peninsula that was annexed by Russia in 2014.
Speaking to reporters at an airport in New Jersey on Sunday, a day after meeting with Zelensky at the Vatican, Trump said “Oh, I think so,” in response to a question on whether he thought Zelensky was ready to “give up” the territory.
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But is the Ukrainian leader really ready to do this and face attacks - possibly even assassination attempts - from within his own far-right paramilitaries and even army commanders?
While the common Ukrainian populace is likely more willing to find compromise for the sake of peace, there are still Azov militants and their associates running the show in many places - and their position remains that no compromise whatsoever, the fight must continue, even as Ukrainian forces are being beaten destroyed.
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Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has warned in a media interview, if Washington imposes more sanctions on Russia, this basically assures years of more war.
"The minute you start doing that kind of stuff, you're walking away from it, you've now doomed yourself to another years of war, and we don't want to see that happen," he said.
He added: "There is no other country, there is no other institution or organization on the Earth that can bring these two sides together, no one else is talking to both sides but us, no one else in the world can make something like this happen but the US president."
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Peace Would be a Blessing for Ukraine
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/peace-would-be-a-bless...
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Five Significant Disagreements Account for Trump's Newfound Anger With Putin
By Andrew Korybko
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The peace process might go kaput if they can’t resolve these issues...
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Trump speculated Russia’s bombing of civilian areas might signal “maybe [Putin] doesn’t want to stop the war, he’s just tapping me along”, and then reiterated his earlier threat to impose “secondary sanctions” against those who violate the US’ primary ones, which was analyzed here.
This followed Trump’s latest meeting with Zelensky, who might have negatively influenced over his hitherto largely positive perceptions of Putin, and comes after reports that the US has finalized its peace plan.
Five significant disagreements that have emerged throughout the course of negotiations account for Trump’s volte-face toward Putin.
The first was referenced by Trump in his post where he condemned Russia’s bombing of civilian areas. Putin argued earlier in April that Russia is targeting Ukrainian troops there, but the optics of continued Russian strikes against civilian areas amidst peace talks with the US evidently left a very negative impression on Trump, who now doubts Putin’s commitment to peace.
The second concerns European peacekeepers in Ukraine, which the US’ reportedly finalized peace plan suggests despite Russia opposing it. Although Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth already declared the US won’t extend Article 5 mutual defense guarantees to NATO countries’ troops in Ukraine, Russia fears that the US could be manipulated by the Europeans into mission creep, if the latter deploy there. Putin therefore prefers for there to be no ambiguity about this and for Trump to scrub it from his plan.
Third, it’s unclear whether Ukraine will be obligated to at least partially demilitarize like Kiev provisionally agreed to do during spring 2022’s peace talks, which is one of Russia’s explicitly declared goals in the conflict. Trump is reluctant to support this since he seems to believe it could embolden Putin to recommence hostilities in the future, especially in the absence of European peacekeepers, but this demand isn’t something Putin could agree to.
The fourth disagreement is over the US’ refusal to accede to Russia’s demand for coercing Ukraine into withdrawing from the disputed territories that are still under Kiev’s control. The New York Times cited a source who described this as “unreasonable and unachievable”, but it’s imperative for Russia after the Kremlin recognized the entirety of these regions as Russian following September 2022’s referenda. Just like with demilitarization, Putin also cannot easily walk away from, hence the disagreement.
And finally, the US’ reportedly finalized peace plan also requests that Russia hand over the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant and Kakhovka Dam to the US, which is as unacceptable for Putin. All five disagreements, including the first-mentioned one about Russia’s continued strikes against military targets in civilian areas, collectively contributed to this impasse right before the diplomatic finish line.
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If Putin and Trump can’t resolve these issues, after which Trump would then also have to get Zelensky to agree to their new deal, then the peace process will probably go kaput.
Putin and Trump are incentivized to resolve their disputes, due to how mutually beneficial the nascent Russian-US “New Détente” is while Zelensky would struggle to continue the fighting, if the US once again cuts off military aid as punishment for rejecting whatever those two agree to.
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Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT
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(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/
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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law
Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future
"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."
https://pinetreewatch.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/
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