ISO-NE New Standards Isn't Going to Stop Solar,Wind or Battery Storage Window Dressing to Calm the Criticism of Them

APRIL 7, 2023

ISO-NE updating accreditation standards to ensure resource reliability

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New England’s power grid is rapidly evolving as economic trends, technological advances, and state environmental policies fundamentally alter the mix of resources providing electricity across the region. A key project underway at ISO New England aims to account for the unique attributes of the resources that will make up the future grid and accurately measure each resource’s contribution to system reliability. This extensive and complex project is critical to ensuring a reliable clean energy future.

More than 1,000 resources participate annually in the region’s Forward Capacity Market, acquiring obligations to help meet projected demand by generating electricity or reducing consumption, and earning money for providing this capacity. As the region’s resource mix evolves, so too must the methods by which ISO New England measures capacity contributions, thereby ensuring the region has the resources it needs.

For more than a year, ISO New England and the region’s stakeholders have been working on the Resource Capacity Accreditation (RCA) project, with plans to file a proposal with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) this fall. This timeline would allow the ISO to implement the new process in the 19th Forward Capacity Auction, scheduled for 2025 to procure the resources needed for the 2028/2029 capacity year.

“Enhancing the way that we measure and accredit the capacity contribution from all resource types will enable the region to more cost-effectively procure the resources necessary to keep the system reliable as it continues to evolve,” said Tongxin Zheng, the ISO’s director of Advanced Technology Solutions and an RCA project leader.

Determining projected production years in advance

When determining the amount of capacity a resource can bid into the Forward Capacity Market, ISO New England looks at what an individual resource can be reasonably expected to produce during peak conditions three years in the future. This process involves examining a number of factors, including the resource’s physical characteristics and historical performance. The RCA project builds upon this framework, while evolving to meet the changing needs of the region, looking at the different characteristics of the resources expected to make up a growing share of the region’s power mix.

Solar panels produce energy when the sun is shining, but not at night, when it’s cloudy, or when they’re covered by snow. Wind turbines require wind speeds within a certain range. Energy storage resources can only store so much and discharge for so long.

Fossil fuel resources can also have limitations on their ability to provide energy. Natural-gas-fired power plants can only run when they can access fuel, supplies of which can be limited in the winter. Oil-fired resources do not need to rely on natural gas pipelines, but they may have limited fuel onsite.

The accreditation reforms cover many topics, but examine four key areas of resource performance in particular:

Correlated performance

Wind and solar resources in the same geographical area tend to produce electricity at the same times. As use of these intermittent resources increases, so does the potential risk to power system reliability when they are offline.

Maximum storage

Today, storage resources are compensated regardless of how much energy they can store. Under RCA, resources with less stored energy are likely to be paid less than otherwise identical resources with more stored energy.

Winter risks and fuel availability

RCA will incorporate winter seasonal risks into the resource adequacy assessment for the first time. In addition, natural gas pipelines become constrained in winter when priority is given to residential heating customers. Power plants that rely solely on pipeline gas purchased on the spot market will be compensated less than otherwise identical resources that have stored fuel onsite, or that have firm contracts to access pipeline gas.

Outage rates

Resources determined to be more likely to have an unexpected outage when the system needs them generally will be paid less than otherwise identical resources that are less likely to be out of service under the same conditions.

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Comment by Dan McKay on April 9, 2023 at 8:46am

Willem,

This is the typical bullshit from a dying regime.

They offer word salads to comfort the masses who, by now, know the generation model that ISO-NE is pursuing will bring down the grid.

ISO-NE is a gutless pack of fools, fully aware that state policies will kill reliability, which is, after all, their core mission

Comment by Willem Post on April 9, 2023 at 8:25am

This write-up does not cover periods when winds and solar are minimal, which happens most days of the year during late-afternoon/early evening, i.e., during the peak hour period. 

Sometimes, such lull periods last up to 5 to 7 days, and maybe followed by another multi-day lull period!!

This happens in Germany, etc., as well

The frequency and depth and duration of wind/solar lull periods can readily be determined by comparing weather data of past years with wind/solar production.

The results of such studies should be made public, which has a right to know, because it has subsidized unreliable, grid-disturbing, expensive wind and solar for at least 20 years, with mediocre results

ISO-NE has minute by minute wind/solar production data dating back at least 15 years, so there should be no problem what wind and solar are really “worth”, capacity wise, during peak hours, or any hours.

Also, it should be no problem for ISO-NE to determine how much additional up and down production is required from gas/oil fired CCGTS, as more and more wind and solar systems are built, and how much additional costs, including wear and tear, Owners of such plants can be expected to look forward to.

The turnkey capital costs of wind, solar and battery systems have increased at least 30% to 35% after 2020, which means the electricity production costs, c/kWh, have increased as well. 

Any electricity production costs of 2020 and prior years, are no longer valid in the real world of high inflation, high interest rates, high energy costs, high labor costs, high shipping costs, high rare metals costs, high supply chain disruptions, which delay projects and increase costs.

Get ready to tighten your belt, I.e., reduce your living standard, to enrich the already-rich, who use RE shills, in and out of government, to do their bidding, using the canard of “saving the world”

 

Maine as Third World Country:

CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power

 

Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.

Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT

******** IF LINKS BELOW DON'T WORK, GOOGLE THEM*********

(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/

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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law

Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future

"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."

https://pinetreewatch.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/

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