ISO NE Must Institute Market Reforms To Report Source Capacity Factor For Grid Reliablity

PJM is a large (13 states) grid operator dealing with the integration of renewbles into a traditional grid system. After a year of stakeholder input, PJM has issued a final propsal to FERC requiring all generating sources in their system to publicly state their actual capacity factors. Obviously, this is not good news for wind and solar developers.

ISONE needs to get behind this effort and give the public a complete picture of acutal (poor) performance and comparative economics of wind and solar to traditional energy sources in NE.

Here's the report:

https://www.tdworld.com/utility-business/article/21275729/pjm-files...

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Comment by Willem Post on October 26, 2023 at 1:13pm

The wind is blowing “somewhere”
Is there a lot of wind in that “somewhere” place?
Is the somewhere place moving around?
Do we have wind turbines in all the “somewhere” places?
Turn the US into a collection of pin cushions, plus a lot of wires to connect them and to where people are consuming the electricity?

US/UK 66,000 MW OF OFFSHORE WIND BY 2030; AN EXPENSIVE FANTASY   
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/biden-30-000-mw-of-off...

EXCERPTS

New York State had signed contracts with EU big wind companies for four offshore wind projects
Sometime later, the companies were trying to coerce an additional $25.35 billion (per Wind Watch) from New York ratepayers and taxpayers over at least 20 years, because they had bid at lower prices than they should have. 
New York State denied the request on October 12, 2023; “a deal is a deal”, said the Commissioner 
 
Owners want a return on investment of at least 10%/y, if bank loans for risky projects are 6.5%/y.
The 3.5% is a minimum for all the years of hassles of designing, building, erecting, and paperwork of a project
Below contract prices, paid by Utilities to owners, are after a 50% reduction, due to US subsidies provided, per various laws, by the US Treasury to the owners. See Items 4 and 6
 
Oersted, Denmark, Sunrise wind, contracted at $110.37/MWh, contractor needs $139.99/MWh, a 27% increase
Equinor, Norway, Empire 1 wind, contracted at $118.38/MWh, contractor needs $159.64/MWh, a 35% increase
Equinor, Norway, Empire 2 wind, contracted at $107.50/MWh, contractor needs $177.84/MWh, a 66% increase
Equinor, Norway, Beacon Wind, contracted at $118.00/MWh, contractor needs $190.82/MWh, a 62% increase
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/liars-lies-exposed-as-...

The EIA continues its phony LCOE evaluations of wind and solar, which exclude major LCOE items, regarding:

Onshore grid expansion/reinforcement and very expensive battery system storage
A fleet of quick-reacting power plants for counteracting/balancing the variable output of wind/solar
Additional power plants for making up the electricity shortfall during low wind/solar conditions
Output curtailments during high wind/solar conditions, i.e., paying owners not to produce what they could have produced

Wind and solar would not exist without at least 50% subsidies and above freebies 

.

Comment by Willem Post on October 22, 2023 at 2:46pm

Any power plants used for counteracting the variable wind/solar output will operate at a lesser capacity, and at a lesser efficiency, which meant in Ireland, with 18% wind, the fleet of CCGT power plants, in counteracting mode, had an efficiency decreasing from about 50% to about 42%, and had at a lesser capacity factor.

The power plant would produced less kWh per hour, and each kWh would require more Btus

Comment by Dan McKay on October 22, 2023 at 6:19am

By visiting the ISO-NE website, be prepared to be overwhelmed with all the numbers which is an engineer's way to evaluate benefit-cost ratios.

They calculate almost everything involved with the generation of electricity, including production characteristics, production amounts relating to time of day and seasons of the year, production obstacles such as line loss and congestion and a whole array of parameters to measure and evaluate generation output.
These engineers are mathematical geniuses.
But, why can't they evaluate the generation as to its value to customer habits and desires. Seems like an easy chore. They display graphically at five-minute intervals how much electricity is being consumed in New England. All generation that reaches a substation is accounted for. They break down the various resources being used to produce electricity throughout the day, never missing a beat.
Why can't they come up with the numbers to display the ratio of each resource's performance during the periods of the day when human activity calls for an electricity ramp-up. How does natural gas perform versus wind or solar? How does nuclear and hydro compare to wind or solar? A true evaluation does not stop at how much a resource produces over time; it must include a resource's ability to produce at the right time.

 

Maine as Third World Country:

CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power

 

Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.

Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT

******** IF LINKS BELOW DON'T WORK, GOOGLE THEM*********

(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/

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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law

Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future

"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."

https://pinetreewatch.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/

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