Pam Arborio
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At 9:11am on January 20, 2014, Willem Post said…
Here is the rest of the comment:

SOLAR
At end 2013, about 33 MW of solar panels, SPEED and non-SPEED, were installed that produced about 33 MW x 8,760 hr/yr x capacity factor 0.145 = 41,960 MWh. SPEED is compensated at an excessive 27 c/kWh for ALL energy fed into the grid, and non-SPEED, mostly roof-mounted solar systems, is compensated at 20 c/kWh for only the excess energy fed into the grid.
NOTE: The SPEED value of 27 c/kWh, set by the PSB, is at least 8 - 9 c/kWh too high.

Vermont consumption is about 5,600,000 MWh/yr, about 0.75% from solar, mostly SPEED solar.

Capital cost, nominal dollars, was about 33 MW x 5.0 million/MW = $165 million over the past 3.5 years. It would take billions of dollars to get to 20%.

WIND
1) Lowell Mountain, 63 MW, capital cost $165 million, 11-month production = 104,213 MWh in 2013; CF = 0.206, which will not be much greater with the ISO-NE mandated $10.5 million bank of synchronous converters. Estimated subsidized energy production cost 15 - 20 c/kWh, based on 20-yr life, much lower CF, high ridgeline O&M costs, and much fewer renewable energy certificates, RECs.

Green Mountain Power testified to the PSB, the CF would be 0.3587 “with the bigger rotor”. See URL
As calculated from the "estimated" production” stated on GMP’s website, the CF = 0.338
http://vce.org/2011-6-20_ALB-CFT_First_Comments_GMP_Filings(7628)

Already-struggling Vermont businesses and households, 70% of Vermont ratepayers in GMP’s area, will be on the hook for the extra Lowell costs for 20 or more years. GMP will not suffer, because it will roll all its extra costs into rate schedules, per PSB approvals.

2) Sheffield Mountain, 40 MW, capital cost $120 million, 11-month production = 76,329 MWh in 2013; CF = 0.238; better than Lowell, but much less than the predicted 0.33 or better.

3) Georgia Mountain, 10 MW, capital cost $28 million, 11-month production in 2013 likely was similar to Lowell and Sheffield.

4) Regional 2012 CFs for NEW projects commissioned in 2010 and 2011 were:

- Central States...........0.370
- Great Lakes...............0.280
- West Coast................0.260
- Northeast..................0.252
- Southeast..................0.247

See page 48 of URL.
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/wind/pdfs/2012_wind_technologies_market_report.pdf

5) Maine and New York have CFs of 0.25 and 0.235, respectively.
http://theenergycollective.com/willem-post/169521/wind-turbine-energy-capacity-less-estimated
At 9:08am on January 20, 2014, Willem Post said…
All,

With regard to renewable energy, it DOES matter what Vermont does, especially if it is on the wrong track to the detriment of Vermont’s economy, which has been in near-zero-growth mode since about 2007, which declining real household incomes since 2000.

Real household incomes of the middle, 4th and bottom quintiles peaked in 2000, 2000, 1999, respectively; in those peak years their incomes were $56,311, $33,815, $13,663; in 2012 their incomes were $51,179, $29,696, $11,490, for a decline from peak year of 9.1%, 12,2%, 15.9%.
http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/Household-Income-Distribution.php

Already-struggling households and businesses have been dealing with a near-zero-growth Vermont economy since 2007, with the tax-burdened, hollowed-out, private sector shrinking relative to the growing, bloated government sector, which is acting as a wet blanket on the private sector, a sure recipe for economic stagnation, lack of well-paid employment growth (except in government), or worse.

At some point, clear-headed thinking must prevail, budgets must be cut, taxes must be reduced, or else Vermont's hollowed-out, PRIVATE, tax-paying economy will continue on its near-zero-growth path, less and less able to scrape up enough money to pay for the rapidly-increasing expenditures of government.

Vermont could have a much bigger bang for the buck, i.e., reduce more CO2/$, if it practiced increased energy efficiency, starting with:

- A strict energy code for NEW, subsidized net-zero-energy buildings, instead of expensively subsidized renewable energy projects; there is no money to do both at the same time.

- Increased surcharges on electricity guzzling households; the surcharge collected each month.

- Increased surcharges on gasoline and diesel guzzling light duty vehicles, i.e., cars, minivans, SUVs, ¼-ton trucks; the surcharge collected at time of registration.

VERMONT RENEWABLE ENERGY PROGRAMS

Vermont has subsidized about $500 million of renewable energy investments in the past 3.5 years and has practically nothing to show for it.
NOTE: It is amazing the Department of Public Service does not keep track of these numbers and post them, along with other project data, in spreadsheet format, on its website.

SPEED PROGRAM
The SPEED program, with help of subsidies from the Clean Energy Development Fund, produces expensive energy. Adding more money to the CEDF will worsen a bad situation.

Here are the production results for the SPEED Program, 2.2 megawatt or less:

2010.........5,980,779 kWh.......0.1387 $/kWh; Jul - Dec
2011......20,172,973 kWh........0.1644 $/kWh
2012......29,666,592 kWh........0.1716 $/kWh
2013…...44,822,813 kWh........0.1919 $/kWh

Vermont consumption......5,600,000,000 kWh/yr
http://vermontspeed.com/speed-monthly-production/

Here are the 2013 expected production results for the SPEED program, greater than 2.2 MW:

Searsburg… …11,660 MWh
Sheffield………83,395 MWh
Lowell…….....113,687 MWh
Georgia…....….21,024 MWh

Total.............229,766 MWh

Production of SPEED projects, 2.2 MW or less, was 0.8% of consumption in 2013, after investments of about $150 million over 3.5 years.

Production of SPEED projects, greater than 2.2 MW, was 4.1% of consumption in 2013, after investments of about $320 million over 3.5 years.

Just imagine what the capital cost would be for the unrealistic, starry-eyed 2011 Comprehensive Energy Plan goal of 90% of ALL energy from RE, not just electrical energy which is only 1/3 of all energy.

SOLAR
At end 2013, about 33 MW of solar panels, SPEED and non-SPEED, were installed that produced about 33 MW x 8,760 hr/yr x capacity factor 0.145 = 41,960 MWh. SPEED is compensated at an excessive 27 c/kWh for ALL energy fed into the grid, and non-SPEED, mostly roof-mounted solar systems, is compensated at 20 c/kWh for only the excess energy fed into the grid.
NOTE: The SPEED value of 27 c/kWh, set by the PSB, is at least
 
 
 

 

Maine as Third World Country:

CMP Transmission Rate Skyrockets 19.6% Due to Wind Power

 

Click here to read how the Maine ratepayer has been sold down the river by the Angus King cabal.

Maine Center For Public Interest Reporting – Three Part Series: A CRITICAL LOOK AT MAINE’S WIND ACT

******** IF LINKS BELOW DON'T WORK, GOOGLE THEM*********

(excerpts) From Part 1 – On Maine’s Wind Law “Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine if the law’s goals were met." . – Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting, August 2010 https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/From Part 2 – On Wind and Oil Yet using wind energy doesn’t lower dependence on imported foreign oil. That’s because the majority of imported oil in Maine is used for heating and transportation. And switching our dependence from foreign oil to Maine-produced electricity isn’t likely to happen very soon, says Bartlett. “Right now, people can’t switch to electric cars and heating – if they did, we’d be in trouble.” So was one of the fundamental premises of the task force false, or at least misleading?" https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/wind-swept-task-force-set-the-rules/From Part 3 – On Wind-Required New Transmission Lines Finally, the building of enormous, high-voltage transmission lines that the regional electricity system operator says are required to move substantial amounts of wind power to markets south of Maine was never even discussed by the task force – an omission that Mills said will come to haunt the state.“If you try to put 2,500 or 3,000 megawatts in northern or eastern Maine – oh, my god, try to build the transmission!” said Mills. “It’s not just the towers, it’s the lines – that’s when I begin to think that the goal is a little farfetched.” https://www.pinetreewatchdog.org/flaws-in-bill-like-skating-with-dull-skates/

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Sign up today and lend your voice and presence to the steadily rising tide that will soon sweep the scourge of useless and wretched turbines from our beloved Maine countryside. For many of us, our little pieces of paradise have been hard won. Did the carpetbaggers think they could simply steal them from us?

We have the facts on our side. We have the truth on our side. All we need now is YOU.

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 -- Mahatma Gandhi

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Hannah Pingree on the Maine expedited wind law

Hannah Pingree - Director of Maine's Office of Innovation and the Future

"Once the committee passed the wind energy bill on to the full House and Senate, lawmakers there didn’t even debate it. They passed it unanimously and with no discussion. House Majority Leader Hannah Pingree, a Democrat from North Haven, says legislators probably didn’t know how many turbines would be constructed in Maine."

https://pinetreewatch.org/wind-power-bandwagon-hits-bumps-in-the-road-3/

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